UK awaits Supreme Court decision on new Scottish independence referendum – live |  Policy

UK awaits Supreme Court decision on new Scottish independence referendum – live | Policy

SNP MP Joanna Cherry makes the same remark.

I’m eagerly awaiting the @UKSupremeCourt response to the question of whether the devolved @scotparl can competently legislate for #IndyRef2. However no matter the outcome Scotland’s right to self determination is inalienable & Democracy must be respected.

— Joanna Cherry KC (@joannaccherry) November 23, 2022

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I look forward to it @UKSupremeCourt answer to the question whether devolution @scotparl can competently legislate for #IndyRef2. However, whatever the outcome, Scotland’s right to self-determination is inalienable and democracy must be respected.

— Joanna Cherry KC (@joannaccherry) November 23, 2022

This is from SNP MP Tommy Shepard. He argues that even if the Supreme Court says the Scottish government has no legal right to hold another independence referendum, it should have the democratic right to call such a vote.

An historic day for Scotland as we await the Supreme Court's indyref2 judgement.

Whatever the outcome, Scots have the right to self-determination and a mandate for a referendum exists. Today’s decision won’t change that. #timeforscotland

— Tommy Sheppard MP (@TommySheppard) November 23, 2022

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A historic day for Scotland as we await the Supreme Court’s indyref2 judgment.

Whatever the outcome, Scots have the right to self-determination and a mandate for a referendum exists. Today’s decision will not change that. #timeforscotland

— Tommy Sheppard MP (@TommySheppard) November 23, 2022

Hello. We will soon find out if the Supreme Court will rule that the Scottish government has the power to hold a second independence referendum. The first, in 2014, saw Scots vote to stay in the UK by 55% to 45%, which was much closer than many people would have predicted in the months and years before the vote. It was the UK’s closest break since leaving Ireland 100 years ago. Naturally, there is plenty of interest in whether Scotland will be allowed to try again.

As an SNP MP Angus McNeil points out, there are three possible outcomes today.

Big Day
Three broad outcomes.

1) Yes, 1998 Scotland Act enables an independence referendum – then proceed to 19th Oct 2023.

2) No referendum under the 1998 Act from Holyrood – use elections

3) Away and legislate and perhaps be taken back to Supreme Court to be then quashed. pic.twitter.com/s2bWXusIWh

— Angus B MacNeil MP🇺🇦 (@AngusMacNeilSNP) November 23, 2022

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Big day
Three big results.

1) Yes, the Scottish Act 1998 allows for an independence referendum – then go to 19th October 2023.

2) No referendum under Holyrood Act 1998 – use elections

3) Far and legislate and maybe take it back to the Supreme Court to then be struck down. pic.twitter.com/s2bWXusIWh

— MP Angus B MacNeil🇺🇦 (@AngusMacNeilSNP) November 23, 2022

According to the BBC Nick Eardleythe Scottish government privately believes his chances of winning are only 20%.

V important ruling on #indyref2 coming at Supreme Court at 0945.

Nobody knows for sure what judges will decide, but both sides agree UK Govt win *appears* more likely.

Feeling in Scottish Govt is they have a 1/5 chance of securing a referendum today.https://t.co/DKfg6nnuUp https://t.co/H1k8oKqyGh

— Nick Eardley (@nickeardleybbc) November 23, 2022

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But that sounds optimistic, for at least two reasons. First, to win, the Scottish government must clear two legal hurdles. The UK government has argued that the Supreme Court should not even hear the case because the Scottish parliament has yet to pass its referendum bill. The Scottish government must first convince the Supreme Court that the issue is justiciable, before also persuading it that Scotland has the right to hold the referendum.

Second, when the UK parliament passed the Scottish Act, the UK government made it clear that the legislation was not intended to give the Scottish parliament control over constitutional matters. The Scottish government is trying to circumvent this by arguing that a referendum would only be ‘advisory’ (as it would require separate legislation to declare independence). It may be confusing to people who have heard nationalists argue for years that a referendum would settle the issue, and it’s not an argument the Supreme Court justices seemed to find compelling when they heard the case. in October.

At the time, Lord Reed, President of the Supreme Court, said it would take them “a few months” to reach a decision. The fact that they are handing down their judgment six weeks later suggests that they had no trouble taking sides, and – again – this could imply that they are unwilling to make a decision that would upset the British constitution.

Yet, you never know.

This is my colleague Libby Brooks preview story.

And here is his Q&A on the case.

Here is the program for the day.

9:45 a.m.: The Supreme Court hands down its judgment in the case of whether the Scottish government is entitled to hold a referendum on independence.

9:45 a.m.: Suella Braverman, the Home Secretary, testifies before the House of Commons Home Affairs Committee.

12 p.m.: Rishi Sunak takes on Keir Starmer in PMQ.

3 p.m.: Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor, gives evidence to the Commons Treasury Committee about the Autumn Declaration.

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